Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1002
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 1002 · ELP → ATL
departs 2:25 PM MT · arrives 7:42 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Fri 10/2 10%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave ELP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
ELP is prone to delays
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP
Weather at each end
ELP (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.51 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.