Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1043
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
DL 1043 · DTW → IAH
departs 8:40 AM ET · arrives 10:37 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 11%
Thu 10/8 11%
Fri 10/9 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.4d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↑
This flight has been late 17% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 6,583 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.