Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1044
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
DL 1044 · CHA → ATL
departs 5:35 AM ET · arrives 6:29 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 7%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 6%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.3d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave CHA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
CHA is prone to delays
↑
Saturdays in October are usually busier than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
5am departures from CHA are usually not late
Weather at each end
CHA (origin)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 0.7 mi
Precip 0.23 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling 800 ft
Visibility 8 mi
Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.