Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1054
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
DL 1054 · RDU → BOS
departs 7:00 AM ET · arrives 9:02 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 6%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 7%
Mon 10/5 7%
Tue 10/6 5%
Wed 10/7 6%
Thu 10/8 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
6%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
6%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
4.4d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
RDU is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
7am departures from RDU are usually not late
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 6 mi
Precip 0.15 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.