Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1072
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 1072 · EYW → ATL
departs 7:50 AM ET · arrives 9:54 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Thu 10/1 11%
Fri 10/2 12%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±3 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave EYW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EYW is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at ATL that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at EYW
↓
7am departures from EYW are usually not late
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
EYW (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.