Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1101
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 1101 · ORF → ATL
departs 4:00 PM ET · arrives 5:58 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Fri 10/2 24%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±4 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave ORF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at ORF that day
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORF (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.43 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.