DL 1124 · ATL → RSW

took off 7:17 PM ET · landed 8:31 PM ET (scheduled 5:07 PM ET → 6:55 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RSW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.22 in

RSW (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1124 · ATL → RSW

Odds over time

How late did it get to RSW?