Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1214
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
DL 1214 · ATL → RIC
departs 3:49 PM ET · arrives 5:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 9%
Thu 10/8 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at RIC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RIC?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↑
3pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at RIC that day
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.16 in
RIC (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.