Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1263
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 1263 · ATL → RIC
departs 7:55 PM ET · arrives 9:36 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Fri 10/2 19%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at RIC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RIC?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
7pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.16 in
RIC (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.