Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1289
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
DL 1289 · ATL → CHO
departs 8:10 PM ET · arrives 9:48 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 12%
Fri 10/9 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at CHO more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±3 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CHO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at CHO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CHO?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at CHO that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
CHO usually runs smoothly
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.06 in
CHO (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.