DL 1307 · DTW → IAH

took off 1:27 PM ET · landed 3:02 PM CT (scheduled 12:28 PM ET → 2:29 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to IAH?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at IAH that day

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1307 · DTW → IAH

Odds over time

How late did it get to IAH?