Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1346
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 1346 · ATL → ORF
departs 5:50 PM ET · arrives 7:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Fri 10/2 24%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at ORF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORF?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
5pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.46 in
ORF (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.