Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1365
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
DL 1365 · DTW → SAT
departs 8:15 PM ET · arrives 10:22 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 18%
Thu 10/8 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at SAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAT?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SAT is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at SAT that day
↑
Arrivals into SAT at that hour are often late
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
SAT (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.