Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1374
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 1374 · ATL → SDF
departs 9:10 AM ET · arrives 10:29 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Thu 10/1 7%
Fri 10/2 9%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 9%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
4.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at SDF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SDF?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
9am departures from ATL are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SDF
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
SDF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
SDF (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 9.33333 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.