Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1406
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
DL 1406 · JFK → AUS
departs 7:07 AM ET · arrives 10:04 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 7%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 7%
Thu 10/8 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↑
AUS is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 5,333 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.27 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.