Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1424
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 1424 · MSY → ATL
departs 10:55 AM CT · arrives 1:27 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Thu 10/1 10%
Fri 10/2 11%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±2 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at ATL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MSY that day
↑
Other factors
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
10am departures from MSY are usually not late
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.46 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.