Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1450
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
DL 1450 · ATL → MSY
departs 7:55 PM ET · arrives 8:29 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 10%
Thu 10/8 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at MSY that day
↑
7pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.16 in
MSY (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.74 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.