Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1500
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
DL 1500 · MOB → ATL
departs 12:45 PM CT · arrives 3:09 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±3 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave MOB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.1 in of rain forecast at MOB that day
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at ATL that day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MOB (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.39 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.