Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1622
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
DL 1622 · AGS → ATL
departs 12:00 PM ET · arrives 1:03 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Today 18%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 14%
Thu 10/8 12%
Fri 10/9 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave AGS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at AGS that day
↑
Other factors
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
12pm departures from AGS are usually not late
Weather at each end
AGS (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.