Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1649
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 1649 · TVC → ATL
departs 12:21 PM ET · arrives 2:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave TVC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi forecast at ATL that day
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TVC
↓
TVC is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
TVC (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 9.2 mi Precip 0.02 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.