Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1668
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 1668 · MCO → JFK
departs 7:52 PM ET · arrives 10:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 61h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 58%
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 32%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
7pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 4,267 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.