Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1700
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 1700 · MEM → ATL
departs 3:54 PM CT · arrives 6:19 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Thu 10/1 12%
Fri 10/2 14%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±5 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at MEM that day
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MEM (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.03 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.38 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.