Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1804 LANDED 6:25 PM ET, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

DL 1804 · GDL → ATL

took off · landed 6:25 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at GDL

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Other factors

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

GDL (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

ATL (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1804 · GDL → ATL

Odds over time