Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1868
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 1868 · TLH → ATL
departs 5:41 PM ET · arrives 7:03 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 70h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Thu 10/1 12%
Fri 10/2 16%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±5 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave TLH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at TLH that day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TLH (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.31 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.30 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.