DL 1915 · JFK → LAX

took off 7:30 PM ET · landed 9:33 PM PT (scheduled 6:53 PM ET → 9:42 PM PT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LAX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from JFK are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ JFK is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at JFK that day

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1915 · JFK → LAX

Odds over time

How late did it get to LAX?