Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1930
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
DL 1930 · JFK → STT
departs 8:00 AM ET · arrives 12:11 PM AST
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at STT more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at STT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STT?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
STT is prone to delays
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at STT
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
STT (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.