Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 196 LANDED 12:15 PM PT, ~42 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

DL 196 · ICN → SEA

took off · landed 12:15 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ICN

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

Weather at each end

ICN (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

SEA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 196 · ICN → SEA

Odds over time