Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2085
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 2085 · MSY → LAX
departs 8:03 AM CT · arrives 10:00 AM PT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Thu 10/1 14%
Fri 10/2 9%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at MSY that day
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.34 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.