Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2086
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 2086 · DSM → ATL
departs 4:47 PM CT · arrives 8:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 10%
Thu 10/8 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±3 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave DSM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DSM
Weather at each end
DSM (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.