Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2106
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
DL 2106 · TPA → LGA
departs 5:55 PM ET · arrives 9:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 54%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 42%
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 21%
Wed 10/7 34%
Thu 10/8 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±3 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from TPA are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.23 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 6,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.