DL 2164 · RDU → DTW

took off 1:03 PM ET · landed 2:15 PM ET (scheduled 12:37 PM ET → 2:24 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DTW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from RDU are often late

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

RDU (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.36 in

DTW (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2164 · RDU → DTW

Odds over time

How late did it get to DTW?