Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2184
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 2184 · LEX → ATL
departs 8:30 AM ET · arrives 9:57 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 4%
Thu 10/1 4%
Fri 10/2 6%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 5%
Mon 10/5 5%
Tue 10/6 4%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±1 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave LEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
This flight has been late 9% of the time recently
Weather at each end
LEX (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 433 ft Visibility 4.66667 mi Precip 0.10 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.38 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.