Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2218
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
DL 2218 · GEG → SEA
departs 5:25 AM PT · arrives 6:40 AM PT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Today 6%
Mon 10/5 5%
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 5%
Thu 10/8 6%
Fri 10/9 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave GEG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
GEG is prone to delays
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
5am departures from GEG are usually not late
Weather at each end
GEG (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.