Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2381
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 2381 · ATL → HOU
departs 3:12 PM ET · arrives 4:22 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Thu 10/1 18%
Fri 10/2 24%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±5 pts
+22 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
3pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.38 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.54 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.