Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2401
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 2401 · EWR → ATL
departs 1:29 PM ET · arrives 4:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 29%
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 7,267 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 4,200 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.40 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.