Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2429
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 2429 · ALB → ATL
departs 6:26 AM ET · arrives 8:57 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Fri 10/2 6%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 10%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave ALB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
ALB is prone to delays
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Saturdays in October are usually busier than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ALB
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
ALB (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 7 kt
Ceiling 4,200 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.