Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Saturday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2442 SCHEDULED

Saturday, October 3 Today

DL 2442 · PHX → SEA

departs 5:40 PM MT · arrives 8:46 PM PT

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±1 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from PHX are often late

↓ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at SEA that day

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2442 · PHX → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?