Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2712
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 2712 · AVL → ATL
departs 6:30 AM ET · arrives 7:31 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Thu 10/1 8%
Fri 10/2 7%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 10%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AVL that day
↑
Other factors
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from AVL are usually not late
Weather at each end
AVL (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0 mi Precip 0.48 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.38 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.