Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2720
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 2720 · ATL → JAX
departs 3:20 PM ET · arrives 4:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Fri 10/2 33%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at JAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JAX?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at JAX that day
↑
3pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.40 in
JAX (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.50 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.