Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2726
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
DL 2726 · BZN → JFK
departs 2:25 PM MT · arrives 9:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave BZN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at JFK that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BZN
Weather at each end
BZN (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
JFK (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 5,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.