Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2758
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
DL 2758 · STT → ATL
departs 5:47 PM AST · arrives 9:49 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave STT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 2.4 in of rain forecast at STT that day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
5pm departures from STT are usually not late
Weather at each end
STT (origin)
Gusts 28 kt
Ceiling 2,700 ft
Visibility 0.5 mi
Precip 1.23 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 0.75 mi
Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.