Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2780
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 2780 · ATL → DAL
departs 4:44 PM ET · arrives 5:54 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Thu 10/1 51%
Fri 10/2 42%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±7 pts
+22 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
4pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.30 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.40 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.