Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2813
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
DL 2813 · FCA → SLC
departs 12:45 PM MT · arrives 2:30 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 6%
Fri 10/9 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave FCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Saturdays in October are usually busier than average
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
↓
12pm departures from FCA are usually not late
Weather at each end
FCA (origin)
Gusts 4 kt
Ceiling 100 ft
Visibility 0.5 mi
Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.