Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2886
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 2886 · ATL → AUS
departs 9:43 AM ET · arrives 11:03 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Thu 10/1 31%
Fri 10/2 23%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±3 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at AUS that day
↑
AUS is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at ATL that day
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.07 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.