Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2893
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 2893 · ATL → SAT
departs 7:09 PM ET · arrives 8:37 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Fri 10/2 28%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±9 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at SAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAT?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at SAT that day
↑
7pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.51 in
SAT (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.51 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.