Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2894
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
DL 2894 · ATL → ORD
departs 11:15 AM ET · arrives 12:27 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 18%
Thu 10/8 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.12 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.