Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2923
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 2923 · ATL → JAX
departs 10:48 AM ET · arrives 12:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 10/1 8%
Fri 10/2 12%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at JAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JAX?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at JAX that day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Other factors
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Arrivals into JAX at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.30 in
JAX (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.