Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2938
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
DL 2938 · ATL → RDU
departs 11:10 PM ET · arrives 12:41 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at ATL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at RDU that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
RDU usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.10 in
RDU (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.