Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3019
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 3019 · PNS → ATL
departs 6:00 AM CT · arrives 8:15 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Fri 10/2 10%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 6%
Mon 10/5 6%
Tue 10/6 5%
Wed 10/7 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave PNS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.5 in of rain forecast at PNS that day
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
PNS (origin)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 1.51 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling 3,800 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.43 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.