Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3024
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 3024 · JAX → ATL
departs 2:35 PM ET · arrives 3:52 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Fri 10/2 18%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±5 pts
+22 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at JAX that day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Other factors
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
JAX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.68 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.46 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.